Weak Demand for Companies’ Core Products and Services Contributes to Slow Jobs Growth
Tag Archives: Unemployment
ManpowerGroup’s perspective on the BLS’ Employment Situation Report
Posted in Manpower News, Unemployment, Workforce News, BLS, World of Work, Karen Miller
Tagged Workforce Trends, Manpower, Unemployment, USA, Economic Crisis, Recession, BLS
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey
Strong Job Market Expected for Iowa
June 14, 2011 - Employers inIowa expect to hire at a healthy pace during the third quarter of 2011, according to the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
From July to September, 23% of the companies interviewed plan to hire more employees, while 8% expect to reduce their payrolls. Another 66% expect to maintain their current staff levels and 3% are not certain of their hiring plans. This yields a Net Employment Outlook* of 15%.
”The Quarter 3 2011 survey results point toward improved hiring plans compared to Quarter 2 2011 when the Net Employment Outlook was 10%,” said Manpower spokesperson Sunny Ackerman. “Compared to one year ago when the Net Employment Outlook was 19%, employers are less confident about their staffing plans.”
For the coming quarter, job prospects appear best in Construction, Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Transportation & Utilities, Wholesale & Retail Trade, Information, Professional & Business Services, Leisure & Hospitality and Other Services. Employers in Financial Activities and Education & Health Services plan to reduce staffing levels, while hiring in Government is expected to remain unchanged.
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey Results for the United States
Of the more than 18,000 employers surveyed in the United States, 20% anticipate an increase in staff levels in their Quarter 3 2011 hiring plans, while 8% expect a decrease in payrolls, resulting in a Net Employment Outlook of +12%. When seasonally adjusted, the Net Employment Outlook becomes +8%. Sixty-nine percent of employers expect no change in their hiring plans. The remaining 3% of employers indicate they are undecided about their hiring intentions.
To view results for Metropolitan Statistical areas surveyed within Iowa, visit http://press.manpower.com.
The next Manpower Employment Outlook Survey will be released on September 13, 2011 to report hiring expectations for Quarter 4 2011.
About the Survey
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted quarterly to measure employers’ intentions to increase or decrease the number of employees in their workforces during the next quarter. The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey’sUnited Statesresults are based on interviews with 18,000 employers located in the 50 states, theDistrict of ColumbiaandPuerto Rico, which includes the largest 100 Metropolitan Statistical Areas based on number of business establishments. The mix of industries within the survey follows the North American Industry Classification System Supersectors and is structured to be representative of theU.S.economy.
The complete results of the national Manpower Employment Outlook Survey can be found in the Press Room of our website at http://press.manpower.com. There you will also find the results for the 100 Metropolitan Statistical Areas surveyed, the 50 states, theDistrict of ColumbiaandPuerto Rico. Questions can be directed to press@na.manpower.com.
November U.S. Unemployment
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, unemployment rates were higher in November than a year earlier in all 372 metropolitan areas. Seventeen areas recorded jobless rates of at least 15.0 percent, while 13 areas registered rates below 5.0 percent. The national unemployment rate in November was 9.4 percent, not seasonally adjusted, up from 6.5 percent a year earlier.
Closer to home, Iowa’s unemployment reached 6.4 percent in November, up from 6.1 percent in October and 4.1 percent in November, 2008. In the Des Moines-West Des Moines MSA, roughly 19,800 or 6.2 percent of the workforce was out of work.
Posted in BLS, Employment, Workforce Statistics
Tagged BLS, Manpower, Unemployment, US Unemployment November 2009
The Full U.S. Unemployment Picture – September 2009
Below is the A12 chart from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This chart gives the full unemployment picture of what is going on in the United States. These numbers cover a lot of varying categories and are often referred to but not always shown in full.
Unfortunately at this point it is still not a pretty picture, I do not expect to see any decrease in these numbers until the first half of 2010. That said, I.T. and Manufacturing are two burgeoning sectors of growth albeit they are not wide spread across every state. We are beginning to build toward hiring trends that will go beyond state borders, once that begins there will definitely be more companies willing to put both feet in and start hiring again.
Click Picture to enlarge.
Less Unemployment for the Well Educated
As you can see from the graph below, the better the education the better the odds that you are still employed. As I said about a similar graph, this is one you want to print out and put on the fridge at home to help your kids understand the importance of education.
Click to make larger.
Job Report – April 2009
The April 2009 Jobs Report came out today and said that nonfarm payroll employment continued to decline in April (-539,000 – it was negative 699,000 last month), and the unemployment rate rose from 8.5 to 8.9 percent. Since the recession began in December 2007, 5.7 million jobs have been lost. In April, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major private-sector industries. Overall, private sector employment fell by 611,000.
So is there any good news in any of these numbers? Yes there is. The chart below shows what is seemingly true, that we have hit bottom and are on our way back up. That said, the bottom we hit was so low that even improvements won’t look much like an improvement for awhile. Something else that cannot be ignored is that there will probably still continue to be some layoffs in certain sectors.
I do believe though that there will start to be some uptick’s in manufacturing as companies begin to have depleted inventories. When the recession started, manufacturing took the biggest hit the fastest which means they will be a good indicator to watch for real evidence of economic turnaround and consumer confidence. Manufacturing also drives our GDP so for our economy to truly start growing again we need to be back making and assembling products to sell (and then you need to go out and buy them).
I never thought it would feel good to see better negative numbers.
Click on picture to enlarge.
Posted in Workforce News
Tagged April Unemployment, GDP, Job Loss Report, Recession Employment, Unemployment
Education Pays Off Big – Even In A Recession
First of all let me state that education is never a bad idea. If you think it is or you are wondering whether or not to return to School – let me answer it for you quickly and succinctly; Go Back to School. As you can see below, even in tough times the ones with a College Degree are faring much better during the recession than those that don’t. So if you have been laid-off and are thinking of going back to school or finishing school, all I can say is the numbers would support it. For those of you like myself that have children at home, print out this graph and put it on the fridge to remind them of why education is important.
Click on Picture to enlarge.
Posted in Unemployment, Workforce Trends
Tagged College, College Level Unemployment, Education, Unemployment
Visual: U.S. Map of Unemployment by Major Metro – March 2009
Iowa is faring very well amongst the other states in the U.S. having more than one city in the lowest unemployment numbers. In March, 109 metropolitan areas reported jobless rates of at least 10.0 percent, up from 14 areas a year earlier, while 95 areas posted rates below 7.0 percent, down from 329 areas in March 2008. El Centro, Calif., recorded the highest unemployment rate, 25.1 percent. The areas with the next highest rates were Merced, Calif., 20.4 percent; Yuba City, Calif., 19.5 percent; and Elkhart-Goshen, Ind., 18.8 percent. Among the 18 areas with jobless rates of at least 15.0 percent, 12 were located in California. Houma-Bayou Cane-Thibodaux, La., and Iowa City, Iowa, registered the lowest jobless rates, 3.6 percent each in March, followed closely by Ames, Iowa, at 3.7 percent.
Click Picture to Enlarge.
Posted in Unemployment, Workforce Trends
Tagged Ames IA, BLS, Iowa City IA, March 2009, Metropolitan, North America Unemployment, Unemployment
Job Posting Trends by Industry March 2009
Below is the Job Posting Industry Trending chart from Indeed.com for March 2009. Indeed is an aggregator of job postings from just about every job board. This is a great chart for helping you to steer your job search and to see where industries are at in regards to hiring as a whole.
Posted in Workforce Trends
Tagged Employment, indeed.com, Industry Hiring Trend, Job Board, Job Chart, Unemployment
Visual: U.S. Metro Unemployment Rates – January 2009
Posted in Unemployment, Workforce Trends
Tagged January 2009, Metro, North America Metropolitans, Unemployment, USA
Best and Worst Trends in Job Openings by Industry – February 2009
Indeed.com has released their February trends graph for job openings by industry. The news is bleak which is to be expected on the back of all of the layoffs that occured in February. Nonetheless it is a great tool for understanding where to point your job search.
Posted in Workforce Statistics
Tagged Best and Worst Job, February 2009, Job Openings, Recession, Unemployment, Work
Visual: Job Openings and Turnover – January 2009
On the last business day of January, there were 3.0 million job openings in the United States, and the job openings rate was 2.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. The job openings rate fell in January, while the hires rate (3.3 percent) and the total separations rate (3.6 percent) were essentially unchanged. The annual rate for hires, total separations, and quits decreased in 2008 while the annual layoffs and discharges rate increased.
It is nice to see new hires picking up although it appears to have leveled off somewhat. Unfortunately seperations continued to increase in January and I anticipate based on what we know, we will see that trend continue for February. I do believe we will begin to see a reverse in the seperations trending as we move into March. I also believe we will see an uptick on new hires in it’s trending in March as well. While the recovery still seems to be months away and the uptick’s will not be huge, progress is progress.
Posted in Workforce Trends
Tagged Job Openings, New Hires, North America, Seperations, Unemployment, USA
College Grads Face Tough Job Market in 2009
Seniors graduating from college this year will get diplomas, but they may not get jobs. Employers expect to hire 22 percent fewer new graduates from the college class of 2009 than they hired from the class of 2008, according to a new study by the National Association of Colleges and Employers.
The latest numbers also differ significantly from the fall, when employers’ hiring projections looked flat.
“Earlier, employers indicated that they expected to keep their new college graduate hiring levels even with last year,” Marilyn Mackes, the association’s executive director, said in a statement. “Our current survey shows that college hiring is as affected by the economy as other types of hiring.”
The drop in anticipated college hiring is part of an overall slack labor market, which has worsened rapidly amid the recession.
The expected decline in new-grad hires was prompted by the deteriorating economic situation, said the association, a professional group that forecasts trends in the job market.
“More than two-thirds of employers said the economic situation forced them to re-evaluate their college hiring plans, and nearly all of those said they have decreased their planned number of hires,” Mackes said.
The projected drop is likely to mean a sharp decline in employer activity on campuses this spring as well, with 66 percent of employers responding to the survey reporting plans to lower or eliminate spring hiring.
The latest association study also ends a string of positive hiring reports for new college graduates dating back to 2004. Students graduating in the early part of the millennium experienced major drops at the hands of the dot-com bust and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. Hiring decreased 36 percent for the class of 2002 but steadied for the class of 2003 before rebounding in 2004.
Employers also seem cautious about the near future. More than 46 percent said they are unsure about their hiring plans for fall 2009, and 17 percent are already reporting that they expect to trim their college hiring further.
Visual: Unemployment Rate by State in North America
Posted in Workforce Statistics
Tagged December 2008, Layoffs, North America, Unemployment, Unemployment Rate by State, US, USA
Visual: United States Unemployment Rates for Metropolitan Areas – Nov 2008
Posted in Unemployment, Workforce Trends
Tagged Layoffs, North America, Unemployment, United States, Visual
Visual: LinkUp Reveals Snapshot of US Job Market
LinkUp.com released a report that provides a unique snapshot of the US Job Market. LinkUp monitors over 11,000 corporate and employer websites nationwide. After analyzing the number of new jobs and total jobs that each company posted in October and November 2008, LinkUp accurately presents labor market statistics by state and by industry.
Looking at the numbers by state, only 18 showed an increase in new jobs between October 2008 and November, with Maine, Alaska, and Oklahoma showing the biggest increase of new jobs. Twenty states increased in total number of job openings. On the other hand, 30 states saw the number of new jobs decrease from October while 29 states experienced a decrease in the number of total job listings. Indiana, Connecticut, and Tennessee suffered the biggest
losses in both categories. In total, the number of new job listings on company sites dropped 5 percent from 1.2 million to 1.14 million, while the number of total job listings dropped 4 percent from 1.5 million to 1.44 million.

Posted in Workforce Statistics
Tagged Employment, Job Growth, Job Market, Linkup, North America, Unemployment, United States
The Future of Work Looks Likes This?
The experts at Challenger, Gray and Christmas, have looked into the future to forecast what you can expect from the corporate world in the years to come. Curious? Read on to find out how and where you work today may be different than tomorrow.
1. Four-Day Workweeks (and Three-Day Weekends!)
The rising costs of fuel are driving some employers to allow workers to make their four-day workweek fantasy a reality. While not all professions provide all employees the opportunity to perform all their tasks in a fewer days, Challenger, Gray & Christmas reports, “Twenty-three percent of companies are now offering a condensed workweek, typically consisting of four 10-hour days.”
Not everyone has to put in a full, 40-hour week to be effective. “With the latest productivity-enhancing tools, some workers are able to get their work done in a four-day, 32-hour week,” says John Challenger, CEO of the outplacement firm.
2. Shape Up or Pay Up
Health-care insurance continues to take a big bite of everyone’s bottom line. Expect employers to take a more personal interest in your well-being through mandatory corporate wellness programs. Challenger, Gray & Christmas predict, “Office equipment such as Steelcase’s WalkStations, which allow workers to walk on treadmills while at their computers, will catch on nationwide.” You can also look forward to your employer taking an interest in unhealthy behaviors you may engage in outside the office.
“More companies will follow the lead of one Indiana company, which announced that workers who allow health risks such as tobacco use, obesity or high cholesterol to go unchecked will pay more for their company health insurance beginning in 2009,” says Challenger.
3. Why Your Degree May Be Company-Sponsored
College, or even graduate school, doesn’t necessarily leave you prepared for the particular practices of a certain company. So that workers can hit the ground running, work more efficiently, and advance more quickly, Challenger, Gray & Christmas believe that large corporations will begin to create their own degree programs.
“Companies will initiate entire programs with precise coursework centered around their company culture and goals, eliminating the need for extensive on-the-job training, and saving both the company and the workers thousands of dollars,” Challenger says.
4. Recruitment Goes Global
If you ever dreamed of working in another country, the possibility is drawing ever closer. Challenger explains, “The expansion of the global economy will likely lead to a global talent pool where companies will aggressively pursue the best available workers, regardless of where they reside.” The firm’s research reveals that corporations in Europe and Asia have already increased their efforts to recruit foreign talent — yet another reason to keep your passport current!
5. Kiss Your Cube Goodbye
Are you tired of the solitude of your cubicle? If so, John Challenger’s got some good news for you. “In order to maximize employee interaction and teamwork, many companies will eliminate the isolating cube and redesign their workspace to feature common areas, conference rooms, and tables, as opposed to individual desks.” Look for greater access to wireless so that you can work in different locations with your laptop — and increased opportunities for telecommuting.
6. HQ’s Get 86′d
The image of a hulking headquarters building will fade as fast as old newspapers in the years to come. Challenger, Gray & Christmas are envisioning the death of “Death Star”-like behemoths at which all employees must work. Instead, says Challenger, “In an effort to cut real-estate costs, become more eco-friendly and attract the growing number of works who want increased work-life balance, more and more companies will adopt a ‘work wherever you want, whenever you want’ policy.”
If professionals require a traditional office, they will “work in leased office space close to their homes.” Some companies are already embracing this forward-thinking notion, including AT&T, Best Buy, and Sun Microsystems, the latter of which estimates that it saved $400 million in real-estate costs over a six-year period, according to Challenger’s research.
7. Athletes Aren’t the Only Free Agents
Baseball and basketball players, among others, aren’t the only talented people who can be free agents. Expect more white-collar workers to follow their example. “The move to hiring temporary and contract employees, freelancers and consultants is beneficial for both companies and workers,” Challenger says.
Companies, he believes, will save money and can add support on an as-needed basis while free agents enjoy flexibility in terms of when they work and types of projects they accept while also increasing their earning potential. And this prediction is already taking root, as Challenger, Gray & Christmas reveal that more than one-third of the U.S. workforce will be comprised of free agents by the year 2012 (according to market research firm EPIC-MRA).
So what do you think of these predictions, dead-on? or dead-crazy?
The $100,000 Job Search: How the High-End Unemployed Cope
The more you make, the more’s at stake. People accustomed to six figure salaries are increasingly among those seeking jobs, as the financial sector crumbles and drags down thousands of related white-collar positions. When Citibank announced recently that it was showing some 50,000 employees — many of them highly paid executives — the door, the departing bankers joined more than 20,000 that Citigroup had already laid off this year. Then there’s the chorus of layoff announcements from other financial firms, from Morgan Stanley to AIG, and suit-count cuts at non-financial firms, from GM to Boeing. Overall, more than 2,100 companies fired at least 50 people in October alone, leaving some 230,000 people suddenly out of a job. That’s why so many $200 pairs of shoes are out pounding the pavement.
But the hiring machine hasn’t shut down altogether. Even as the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits approaches a 26-year high, there are still a sizable number of jobs open for reasons unrelated to the economic turmoil. “With people leaving, retiring, and taking other jobs, you still have to have a director of sales, a VP of marketing and a CFO position to fill,” says Marc Cenedella, founder of TheLadders.com, a subscription service that lists jobs paying more than $100,000. “Companies may not be making expansionary or discretionary hires,” says Cenedella of the high-end market, “but with natural turnover, there may be 3.2 million hires a year instead of 4 million in a normal market.”
The Phony Jobs Report
TrimTabs employment analysis, which uses real-time daily income tax deposits from all U.S. taxpayers to compute employment growth, finds that the U.S. economy added 92,000 jobs in August. Meanwhile, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday that the U.S. economy lost 84,000 jobs in August.
We believe the BLS estimates are wrong. Due to its flawed methodology, the BLS is missing the current pop in employment caused by the rapid decline in crude oil prices. The sectors of the economy that are still hiring are government, education and health care and companies that export goods and services.
The uptick in employment this past month does not mean that the U.S. economy has hit bottom and is exiting the current downturn. In all likelihood, last month’s positive employment growth will disappear as corporations respond to declining consumption cash due to the lack of home equity, tough credit conditions and high energy prices.
Posted in Unemployment, Workforce Trends
Tagged Jobs Report, Labor Statistics, Unemployment



















